Saturday, March 25, 2006

Can Pak Lah be prime minister for long?

Can Pak Lah be prime minister for long?



DATUK SERI ABDULLAH AHMAD Badawi – formally but known to all and
sundry, even to himself, as Pak Lah – is trapped. There are many
reasons why: his son-in-law, the deputy prime minister, Tun Mahathir
Mohamed, his office, UMNO headquarters, the non-Malay and non-Islamic
parties in the ruling National Front, Dato' Seri Anwar Ibrahim, his
political enemies. The withdrawal of RM4.4 billion annually, because
his son-in-law wanted RM20 billion for his projects, led to Pak Lah
being trapped. Mr Khairy Jamaluddin proposed to meet a RM20 billion
shortfall in the 9th Malaysia Plan by raising the petrol price. He
had earlier proposed RM200 billion worth of projects, RM20 billion
less than the plan. Pak Lah dutifully told Malaysians the government
could not afford the fuel subsidies. It was a spin. But how does Mr
Khairy, known in some quarters as 'Satan's son', sit in on official
committees, when he has no right to and is not in the government.
make proposals he cannot and should not? Pak Lah has trapped himself
because he allows his son-in-law to interfere in the administration
of government.

Pak Lah goes about as a marionette, making explanations and
statements on cue. He means nothing and says the obvious but which is
given wide play because of who he is. He was in Bangi this week to
open a new agricultural park, harvested the fruit trees as part of
the opening ceremony. It normally takes three or four years to
harvest the fruits, but the trees were planted only last year. The
farmers who attended said they would not be allowed to pluck the
fruits, and saw it as another attempt to burnish his image. He does
all he can to keep his enemies at bay and so that his son-in-law
would be a force in government. Recently, he and the deputy prime
minister, Dato' Seri Najib Tun Razak, called on Tun Mahathir for
advise on the 9th Malaysia Plan. (But why see the former prime
minister so late in the day?) They also saw Tengku Razaleigh Hamzah,
a former finance minister and a powerful leader in UMNO but on the
outside. A ground swell, particularly in UMNO, believes the successor
to Pak Lah is Dato' Seri Najib, but he, cautious as ever, hopes to
accede withought fighting for it. Mr Khairy has put the knife in,
with incriminiting evidence which he will reveal if Dato' Seri Najib
ever becomes prime minister.

Those around Pak Lah makes the wrong moves. The official media, all
staffed by Khairy's acolytes, have blamed the Selangor mentri besar,
Dato' Seri Khir Toyo, for the recent Shah Alam flood, little
realising that federal polices accelerated it. The spin now is that
the pig droppings have entered the water supply. to enhance its
Islamic commitment. But in the recent floods in Kuala Lumpur and
Selangor, human waster has got into the water supply. So the water
supply is cut, in stages. It was done to suit official convenience,
not the public's. There should have warned people when it was
decided, not in the media the next day. But the attack on Dato' Seri
Khir is to stop him contesting the UMNO Youth leadership, so that Mr
Khairy can become leader without a contest. But the challenger is a
different man, probably from Dato' Seri Najib's camp.

There is a shuffling of support in UMNO. Many have deserted Pak Lah
for one of the other warlords in the party. Dato' Seri Najib will not
move against Pak Lah, strengthened by Mr Khairy's threat. One man who
can replace Dato' Seri Najib would not, unless he is invited, but he
is popular with UMNO and throughout the country. Those around Pak Lah
do not follow Malay mores and ethics to stop their rivals. Mr Khairy
is a past master in that. But he fell more often than not, alienating
the party and the country that he cannot survive for long after his
father-in-law steps down. Whoever is next prime minister will see to
that. He was not born with a silver spoon, but has made more than
RM500 million in his early thirties, mostly be selling government
assets to Singapore, and representing Singapore to buy Malaysian
assets. He now tries so that Singapore will take over a local bank,
not a local company. He makes mistakes, the latest is ECM Libra, of
which he is a director and shareholder, suing Mr Husam Musa, a PAS
MP, for asking questions of how Mr Khairy came to his wealth.

The days when leaders are selected in secret will continue, although
those selected must expect public scrutiny more than in the past.
They would not accept a man who feels Malaysians cannot do without
him. But they would others who reach the top, even if the winner
ignores them afterwards. Nor would the prime ministership be given
those who await it to land in their laps. A nod from the leader would
give one an inside track, but one has to want it badly to rise to the
top. Those who want to be prime minister after Pak Lah prefer to have
it fall on their laps. But leaders now in Malaysia do not arrive this
way. Normally, the prime minister will designate his successor. That
has been so since independence in 1957. But not now. More deputy
prime ministers have dropped out than moved on. Tun Hussein came from
the cold to be eventually prime minister. But Tun Abdul Razak, then
prime minister, looked over him;. Tun Mahathir had four deputy prime
ministers, the last of whom was Pak Lah to whom he reluctantly handed
over. This will not be so now. There is a move to unseat him before
the UMNO General Assembly next year.

M.G.G. Pillai

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